{"id":"handoff-haze-to-marine-2026-09","from_sentinel":"haze","to_sentinel":"marine","relationship_id":"rel-io-transfers-marine","relationship_type":"transfers_to","io_id":"io-hs-2026-09-southern-asean-haze","io_slug":"hs-2026-09-southern-asean-haze","io_url":"https://hazesentinel.net/intelligence/hs-2026-09-southern-asean-haze/","title":"Coastal / marine deposition watch — Southern ASEAN haze","status":"no_watch","issued_at":"2026-10-30T19:30:23.528Z","last_updated_at":"2026-10-30T19:30:23.528Z","geography":{"label":"Southern ASEAN — Singapore, Peninsular Malaysia, Sumatra, western Kalimantan","bbox":[95,-6,120,8],"aoi":"southern-asean-haze"},"receptors":[{"id":"port-singapore","label":"Port of Singapore","kind":"MARITIME OPERATING ENVIRONMENT"},{"id":"shipping","label":"Shipping lanes (Straits)","kind":"MARITIME OPERATING ENVIRONMENT"},{"id":"ferry","label":"Ferry routes","kind":"MARITIME OPERATING ENVIRONMENT"},{"id":"tourism","label":"Coastal tourism / recreation","kind":"TOURISM / RECREATION CONTEXT"},{"id":"nikoi-cempedak","label":"Nikoi / Cempedak context","kind":"TOURISM / RECREATION CONTEXT"},{"id":"east-bintan-mpa","label":"East Bintan marine protected area","kind":"COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS"},{"id":"coastal-communities","label":"Coastal communities","kind":"AIR-QUALITY EXPOSURE"},{"id":"aquaculture","label":"Aquaculture","kind":"AIR-QUALITY EXPOSURE"}],"current_state":"2961 FIRMS thermal anomalies in the Southern ASEAN AOI (24 h NRT). NEA official AQ unavailable. Singapore 10 m wind from 16°. Coastal modelled PM2.5: Singapore 32.8; Johor Bahru 24.7; Batam 32.8 µg/m³. Current precipitation at: Pekanbaru 0.2 mm; Pontianak 0.1 mm. Deposition flux is not asserted.","why_now":"2961 FIRMS thermal anomalies in the Southern ASEAN AOI (24 h NRT). Watch conditions not met on this run. The marine pathway remains open as a question.","watch_conditions":["FIRMS 24 h thermal-anomaly count in AOI ≥ 200","AND (10 m wind at Singapore or Batam from 160–280° OR modelled PM2.5 ≥ 35.5 µg/m³ at a coastal receptor)"],"limitations":["This is a transfer of a watch, not an observed deposition flux.","No catchment overlay, burn-scar intersection, or wet-deposition model is connected.","10 m wind is not a trajectory model. Modelled PM is not official PSI."],"epistemic_status":"hypothesised","deposition_claim":"not_asserted","confidence":{"score":0.59,"label":"moderate","summary":"Confidence reflects source authority, recency and agreement — not event severity.","dimensions":{"source_authority":0.72,"source_agreement":0.4,"data_recency":0.75,"spatial_resolution":0.55,"temporal_resolution":0.6,"model_agreement":0.2,"methodological_quality":0.62,"historical_analogue_strength":0.15,"unresolved_contradiction":0.1},"reasons":["FIRMS NRT reachable this run","Open-Meteo reachable this run","NEA official AQ not reachable this run","ASMC not ingested. Malaysian and Indonesian official AQ not ingested.","No trajectory model; 10 m wind is a plausibility check only"]},"evidence":{"hotspot_count_24h":2961,"coastal_pm25":[{"id":"sg-singapore","name":"Singapore","pm25":32.8},{"id":"my-johor","name":"Johor Bahru","pm25":24.7},{"id":"id-batam","name":"Batam","pm25":32.8}],"wind_toward_corridor":false,"singapore_wind_deg":16,"rainfall_mm":[{"id":"id-pekanbaru","name":"Pekanbaru","mm":0.2},{"id":"id-pontianak","name":"Pontianak","mm":0.1}],"evidence_ids":["obs-hotspot-count-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc","obs-pm25-sg-singapore-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc","obs-wind-sg-singapore-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc","obs-pm25-my-johor-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc","obs-wind-my-johor-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc","obs-pm25-id-batam-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc","obs-wind-id-batam-966d7230-a24f-48aa-888f-95a9a3aad4dc"],"source_ids":["src-firms-viirs","src-openmeteo-weather","src-openmeteo-aq","src-nea-psi"]},"suggested_marine_question":"Would a subsequent rainfall event intersecting burned area and a sensitive catchment produce a material pulse into the Singapore Strait, Malacca Strait or South China Sea approaches?","investigation_id":"inv-2026-09-deposition-marine"}